Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Alianza Lima vs ADT preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Alianza Lima take on ADT on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Alianza Lima are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while ADT sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Alianza Lima's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Universitario 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
ADT's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to FBC Melgar 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished ADT 0–1 Alianza Lima.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Alianza Lima and 0.6 for ADT. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Lima 70%, draw 20%, ADT 10%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Lima to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Alianza Lima 1–0 ADT. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Lima70%fair 1.42 · @1.29
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @5.00
ADT10%fair 10.27 · @10.00
2.47Expected goals
1.92Alianza Lima xG
0.55ADT xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 1.9 – 0.6 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Alianza Lima to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs ADT?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and ADT 10%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs ADT?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs ADT?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 1–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs ADT?
Alianza Lima vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
