FBC Melgar host Sport Boys in the Primera División on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 02:15 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA. FBC Melgar are 5th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sport Boys sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FBC Melgar's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Cusco 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sport Boys's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 April 2026, finished Sport Boys 1–3 FBC Melgar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for FBC Melgar and 0.5 for Sport Boys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FBC Melgar 71%, draw 18%, Sport Boys 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FBC Melgar to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: FBC Melgar 1–0 Sport Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FBC Melgar71%fair 1.42 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.00
Sport Boys11%fair 8.74 · @7.50
2.40Expected goals
1.86FBC Melgar xG
0.54Sport Boys xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: FBC Melgar 1.9 – 0.5 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is FBC Melgar to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sport Boys 11%.
How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys?
Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 1–0 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys?
FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
