Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 20 Sep 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultUniversitario to win ✗42% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.02

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario preview and prediction

The match

Deportivo Garcilaso host Universitario in the Primera División on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Universitario sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Deportivo Garcilaso's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Sport Boys 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Universitario's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Alianza Lima 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Universitario 4–1 Deportivo Garcilaso.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.3 for Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Deportivo Garcilaso 34%, draw 24%, Universitario 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Deportivo Garcilaso34%fair 2.93 · @2.75

Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.90

Universitario42%fair 2.37 · @2.50

2.48Expected goals

1.16Deportivo Garcilaso xG

1.32Universitario xG

53%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

0–111%

1–010%

1–28%

0–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.2 – 1.3 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Universitario to win ✗	42%	2.37	2.50 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	53%	1.87	1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.82	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.31	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.26	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Universitario / FT Universitario ✗	23%	4.26	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	11%	9.02	–

Form

Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6

LWWWDW

13 Sep	@ Sport Boys	0–1	L
6 Sep	vs Atletico Grau	4–2	W
30 Aug	@ Alianza Lima	1–0	W
23 Aug	vs Cusco	4–1	W
17 Aug	@ Cienciano	0–0	D
9 Aug	vs UCV Moquegua	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Universitario – last 6

WDWWWD

13 Sep	@ Alianza Lima	2–1	W
6 Sep	vs Comerciantes Unidos	2–2	D
29 Aug	@ UTC Cajamarca	4–2	W
24 Aug	vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas	3–0	W
16 Aug	@ FC Cajamarca	3–2	W
8 Aug	vs Sporting Cristal	1–1	D

2.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universitario 42%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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Match result

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