Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Garcilaso to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Garcilaso to win ✓68% · @1.62
Double chanceDeportivo Garcilaso or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.62
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Grau travel to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in the Primera División on Sunday 6 September (19:30 WAT) to face Deportivo Garcilaso. Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Atletico Grau sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Deportivo Garcilaso's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Alianza Lima 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Grau's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat FBC Melgar 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Garcilaso arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Deportivo Garcilaso and 0.4 for Atletico Grau. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Garcilaso to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 Atletico Grau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Garcilaso68%fair 1.48 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.50
Atletico Grau11%fair 9.34 · @5.50
1.98Expected goals
1.57Deportivo Garcilaso xG
0.41Atletico Grau xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–017%
0–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.6 – 0.4 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Garcilaso to win✓
68%
1.48
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Garcilaso / FT Deportivo Garcilaso✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.62
–
Form
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6
WWDWWW
30 Aug
@ Alianza Lima
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Cusco
4–1
W
17 Aug
@ Cienciano
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs UCV Moquegua
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ ADT
1–0
W
27 Jul
vs FC Cajamarca
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atletico Grau – last 6
WDWWDL
1 Sep
vs FBC Melgar
1–0
W
26 Aug
vs Sport Boys
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ FC Cajamarca
3–1
W
14 Aug
vs Comerciantes Unidos
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Juan Pablo II College
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Sport Boys
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Atletico Grau.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Deportivo Garcilaso to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Grau 11%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
