Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.27
Cusco vs UCV Moquegua preview and prediction
The match
UCV Moquegua travel to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in the Primera División on Sunday 6 September (00:00 WAT) to face Cusco. Cusco are 10th with 24 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while UCV Moquegua sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cusco's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Cienciano 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
UCV Moquegua's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Alianza Atletico 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Cusco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Cusco and 0.7 for UCV Moquegua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Cusco to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cusco 1–0 UCV Moquegua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cusco69%fair 1.44 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @5.00
UCV Moquegua13%fair 7.64 · @11.00
2.67Expected goals
1.99Cusco xG
0.68UCV Moquegua xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cusco 2.0 – 0.7 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cusco to win✓
69%
1.44
1.25
Double chance
Cusco or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Cusco ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cusco / FT Cusco✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.27
–
Form
Cusco – last 6
WLWLWL
31 Aug
@ Cienciano
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
2 Aug
vs UTC Cajamarca
4–1
W
25 Jul
@ Universitario
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 6
LLWDLD
30 Aug
vs Alianza Atletico
1–4
L
27 Aug
@ ADT
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Sport Huancayo
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sport Boys
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs FBC Melgar
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cusco and UCV Moquegua.
Our pick is Cusco to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cusco vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Cusco have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and UCV Moquegua 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Cusco 1–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs UCV Moquegua?
Cusco vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
