UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees UCV Moquegua take on Alianza Atletico on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. UCV Moquegua are 17th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Alianza Atletico sit 7th on 28 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UCV Moquegua's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to ADT 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza Atletico's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with UTC Cajamarca 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Alianza Atletico arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for UCV Moquegua and 1.2 for Alianza Atletico. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: UCV Moquegua 1–1 Alianza Atletico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCV Moquegua38%fair 2.62 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Alianza Atletico36%fair 2.74 · @2.88
2.37Expected goals
1.20UCV Moquegua xG
1.17Alianza Atletico xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.2 – 1.2 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UCV Moquegua to win✗
38%
2.62
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UCV Moquegua / FT UCV Moquegua✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.89
–
Form
UCV Moquegua – last 6
LWDLDD
27 Aug
@ ADT
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Sport Huancayo
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sport Boys
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs FBC Melgar
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ UTC Cajamarca
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Alianza Atletico – last 6
DWDWLW
25 Aug
vs UTC Cajamarca
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Sporting Cristal
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ ADT
1–1
D
6 Aug
vs Cienciano
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Alianza Lima
1–3
L
24 Jul
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCV Moquegua and Alianza Atletico.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alianza Atletico 36%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–1 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico?
UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
