Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Sport Huancayo take on UCV Moquegua on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Huancayo. Sport Huancayo are 1st with 34 points from 16 games (top of the table), while UCV Moquegua sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sport Huancayo's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Sporting Cristal 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
UCV Moquegua's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Sport Boys 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sport Huancayo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Sport Huancayo and 0.8 for UCV Moquegua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Huancayo 65%, draw 22%, UCV Moquegua 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sport Huancayo 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Huancayo65%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @4.45
UCV Moquegua13%fair 7.55 · @9.00
2.72Expected goals
1.95Sport Huancayo xG
0.77UCV Moquegua xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sport Huancayo 2.0 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Huancayo to win✗
65%
1.55
1.36
Double chance
Sport Huancayo or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Half-time result
Sport Huancayo ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Huancayo / FT Sport Huancayo✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.80
–
Form
Sport Huancayo – last 6
LDWWLW
16 Aug
@ Sporting Cristal
1–4
L
7 Aug
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ FC Cajamarca
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Atletico Grau
2–0
W
20 Jul
@ Alianza Lima
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 6
DLDDDD
16 Aug
vs Sport Boys
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs FBC Melgar
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ UTC Cajamarca
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Comerciantes Unidos
2–2
D
12 Jul
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Huancayo and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Sport Huancayo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UCV Moquegua 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Sport Huancayo 2–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua?
Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Huancayo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
