Value bet: Atletico Grau to win @ 3.65 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Cajamarca to win ✗45% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees FC Cajamarca take on Atletico Grau on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. FC Cajamarca are 14th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Grau sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FC Cajamarca's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Universitario 2–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Atletico Grau's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Comerciantes Unidos 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atletico Grau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Atletico Grau 1–0 FC Cajamarca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for FC Cajamarca and 1.1 for Atletico Grau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Cajamarca 45%, draw 22%, Atletico Grau 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Atletico Grau to win at 3.65 – 33% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Cajamarca 1–1 Atletico Grau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Cajamarca45%fair 2.20 · @2.02
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Atletico Grau33%fair 3.06 · @3.65
2.50Expected goals
1.38FC Cajamarca xG
1.11Atletico Grau xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 1.4 – 1.1 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Grau 33%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 1–1 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
