Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Atletico host Sporting Cristal in the Primera División on Friday 21 August, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Alianza Atletico are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sporting Cristal sit 2nd on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Alianza Atletico's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with ADT 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sporting Cristal's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Sport Huancayo 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Alianza Atletico and 1.4 for Sporting Cristal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico35%fair 2.84 · @2.82
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Sporting Cristal41%fair 2.46 · @2.46
2.70Expected goals
1.29Alianza Atletico xG
1.41Sporting Cristal xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.3 – 1.4 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✗
41%
2.46
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.60
–
Form
Alianza Atletico – last 6
DWLWLW
15 Aug
@ ADT
1–1
D
6 Aug
vs Cienciano
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Alianza Lima
1–3
L
24 Jul
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3–1
W
19 Jul
@ Cusco
1–4
L
10 Jul
vs Molinos El Pirata
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting Cristal – last 6
WDWLLD
16 Aug
vs Sport Huancayo
4–1
W
8 Aug
@ Universitario
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ RB Bragantino
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ FBC Melgar
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs RB Bragantino
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Sporting Cristal.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sporting Cristal 41%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
