Value bet: Cusco to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCusco to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.50
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Deportivo Garcilaso take on Cusco on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Cusco sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Deportivo Garcilaso's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Cienciano 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cusco's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Juan Pablo II College 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 June 2026, finished Deportivo Garcilaso 0–0 Cusco. Across their last 2 meetings Deportivo Garcilaso have won 0, Cusco 1, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.3 for Cusco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Cusco to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Cusco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Garcilaso36%fair 2.79 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Cusco39%fair 2.57 · @2.75
2.50Expected goals
1.22Deportivo Garcilaso xG
1.28Cusco xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.2 – 1.3 Cusco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?
On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cusco 39%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Cusco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
