Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: NK Varazdin to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceNK Varazdin or draw ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees NK Varazdin take on NK Osijek on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Varteks. NK Varazdin are 5th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while NK Osijek sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NK Varazdin's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with HNK Gorica 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NK Osijek's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished NK Osijek 0–2 NK Varazdin.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for NK Varazdin and 1.2 for NK Osijek. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Varazdin 58%, draw 22%, NK Osijek 20%.
Safer route: NK Varazdin or draw (80%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.70.
Value angle: NK Varazdin to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NK Varazdin or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NK Varazdin 2–1 NK Osijek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Varazdin58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.40
NK Osijek20%fair 5.04 · @3.50
3.43Expected goals
2.19NK Varazdin xG
1.24NK Osijek xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 2.2 – 1.2 NK Osijek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek?
Our pick is NK Varazdin or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NK Osijek 20%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 2–1 NK Osijek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek?
NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Varteks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.