Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: HNK Rijeka to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.74
HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek preview and prediction
The match
HNK Rijeka host NK Osijek in the HNL on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadion HNK Rijeka. HNK Rijeka are 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while NK Osijek sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
HNK Rijeka's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with HNK Gorica 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
NK Osijek's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat NK Slaven Belupo 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NK Osijek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for HNK Rijeka and 0.9 for NK Osijek. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Rijeka 66%, draw 20%, NK Osijek 13%.
Safer route: HNK Rijeka or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: HNK Rijeka to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HNK Rijeka or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: HNK Rijeka 2–0 NK Osijek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Rijeka66%fair 1.51 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
NK Osijek13%fair 7.56 · @4.20
3.00Expected goals
2.14HNK Rijeka xG
0.86NK Osijek xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 2.1 – 0.9 NK Osijek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
66%
1.51
1.75 ▲
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
HNK Rijeka ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.74
–
Form
HNK Rijeka – last 6
DLWLLD
31 Aug
@ HNK Gorica
0–0
D
27 Aug
vs FC Midtjylland
1–4
L
23 Aug
vs Istra 1961
3–2
W
20 Aug
@ FC Midtjylland
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
13 Aug
@ Ilves
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NK Osijek – last 6
WLWWWL
30 Aug
vs NK Slaven Belupo
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ HNK Hajduk Split
0–4
L
15 Aug
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Rudes
6–1
W
1 Aug
@ HNK Gorica
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Rizespor
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Rijeka and NK Osijek.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek?
Our pick is HNK Rijeka or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and NK Osijek 13%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 2–0 NK Osijek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek?
HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
