Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees Dinamo Zagreb take on HNK Gorica on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Maksimir. Dinamo Zagreb are 2nd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while HNK Gorica sit 10th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dinamo Zagreb's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Istra 1961 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
HNK Gorica's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with HNK Rijeka 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Dinamo Zagreb arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished HNK Gorica 3–6 Dinamo Zagreb. Across their last 2 meetings Dinamo Zagreb have won 2, HNK Gorica 0, with 0 draws and 7.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.2 for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.6 for HNK Gorica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dinamo Zagreb 74%, draw 16%, HNK Gorica 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 HNK Gorica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dinamo Zagreb74%fair 1.35 · @1.17
Draw16%fair 6.39 · @7.00
HNK Gorica10%fair 9.58 · @15.00
2.78Expected goals
2.16Dinamo Zagreb xG
0.62HNK Gorica xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%
From our goals model: Dinamo Zagreb 2.2 – 0.6 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers Dinamo Zagreb have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and HNK Gorica 10%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Maksimir.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.