Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 preview and prediction
The match
Istra 1961 travel to Stadion HNK Rijeka in the HNL on Sunday 23 August (17:30 WAT) to face HNK Rijeka. HNK Rijeka are 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Istra 1961 sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
HNK Rijeka's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to FC Midtjylland 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Istra 1961's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat NK Slaven Belupo 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Istra 1961 0–0 HNK Rijeka. Across their last 2 meetings HNK Rijeka have won 0, Istra 1961 1, with 1 draw and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for HNK Rijeka and 1.1 for Istra 1961. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Rijeka 65%, draw 21%, Istra 1961 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: HNK Rijeka 2–1 Istra 1961. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Rijeka65%fair 1.54 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.20
Istra 196114%fair 7.16 · @6.50
3.40Expected goals
2.35HNK Rijeka xG
1.05Istra 1961 xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 2.3 – 1.1 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Istra 1961 14%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 2–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
