HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: NK Osijek to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek preview and prediction
The match
NK Osijek travel to Stadion Poljud in the HNL on Sunday 23 August (20:00 WAT) to face HNK Hajduk Split. HNK Hajduk Split are 1st with 29 points from 13 games (top of the table), while NK Osijek sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
HNK Hajduk Split's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Raków Częstochowa 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
NK Osijek's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NK Osijek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 NK Osijek. Across their last 2 meetings HNK Hajduk Split have won 1, NK Osijek 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for HNK Hajduk Split and 1.7 for NK Osijek. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: NK Osijek to win at 3.10 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: HNK Hajduk Split 1–1 NK Osijek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Hajduk Split39%fair 2.57 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
NK Osijek39%fair 2.58 · @3.10
3.33Expected goals
1.67HNK Hajduk Split xG
1.66NK Osijek xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 1.7 – 1.7 NK Osijek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?
On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NK Osijek 39%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?
Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1–1 NK Osijek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
