Value bet: NK Varazdin to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.98
NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees NK Slaven Belupo take on NK Varazdin on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš. NK Slaven Belupo are 7th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while NK Varazdin sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NK Slaven Belupo's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Dinamo Zagreb 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
NK Varazdin's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
NK Varazdin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for NK Slaven Belupo and 1.3 for NK Varazdin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Slaven Belupo 36%, draw 23%, NK Varazdin 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Value angle: NK Varazdin to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 NK Varazdin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Slaven Belupo36%fair 2.76 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.35
NK Varazdin41%fair 2.45 · @2.62
2.60Expected goals
1.25NK Slaven Belupo xG
1.35NK Varazdin xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 1.3 – 1.3 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Varazdin to win✓
41%
2.45
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Varazdin / FT NK Varazdin✓
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.98
–
Form
NK Slaven Belupo – last 6
LWDLLL
31 Jul
@ Dinamo Zagreb
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Sesvete
4–0
W
21 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
2–2
D
16 Jul
@ Paks
3–5
L
14 Jul
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–3
L
10 Jul
vs Debreceni VSC
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NK Varazdin – last 6
WLWWWW
2 Aug
vs HNK Hajduk Split
2–1
W
30 Jul
@ FK Jablonec
0–2
L
23 Jul
vs FK Jablonec
3–2
W
12 Jul
@ Bihor Oradea
3–1
W
10 Jul
@ Radomlje
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs CSKA 1948
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Slaven Belupo and NK Varazdin.
What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NK Varazdin 41%.
How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?
NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
