HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗65% · @1.39
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees HNK Hajduk Split take on Istra 1961 on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadion Poljud. HNK Hajduk Split are 1st with 29 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Istra 1961 sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
HNK Hajduk Split's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat FK Zalgiris Vilnius 5–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Istra 1961's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished Istra 1961 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for HNK Hajduk Split and 1.1 for Istra 1961. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Istra 1961. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Hajduk Split65%fair 1.54 · @1.39
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.40
Istra 196112%fair 8.05 · @7.00
3.50Expected goals
2.43HNK Hajduk Split xG
1.07Istra 1961 xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 2.4 – 1.1 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Istra 1961 12%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
