Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓68% · @1.21
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
HNK Rijeka vs Rudes preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees HNK Rijeka take on Rudes on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadion HNK Rijeka. HNK Rijeka are 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Rudes sit 8th on 16 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
HNK Rijeka's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Derry City 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rudes's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Göztepe 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
HNK Rijeka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for HNK Rijeka and 0.9 for Rudes. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Rijeka 68%, draw 18%, Rudes 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 56% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HNK Rijeka to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: HNK Rijeka 2–0 Rudes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Rijeka68%fair 1.46 · @1.21
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @5.25
Rudes14%fair 7.23 · @13.00
3.16Expected goals
2.26HNK Rijeka xG
0.90Rudes xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 2.3 – 0.9 Rudes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
68%
1.46
1.21
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Half-time result
HNK Rijeka ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.21
–
Form
HNK Rijeka – last 6
WWWWWW
30 Jul
@ Derry City
1–0
W
23 Jul
vs Derry City
1–0
W
3 Jul
@ Radomlje
2–0
W
30 Jun
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ Bravo
2–1
W
23 May
vs HNK Gorica
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rudes – last 6
DLWWWD
26 Jul
@ Göztepe
1–1
D
1 Jul
vs Cukaricki
3–4
L
29 May
vs Sesvete
3–1
W
23 May
@ Dugopolje
3–0
W
8 May
@ Karlovac 1919
3–0
W
2 May
vs Dubrava Zagreb
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Rijeka and Rudes.
Our pick is HNK Rijeka to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs Rudes?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rudes 14%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs Rudes?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs Rudes?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 2–0 Rudes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs Rudes?
HNK Rijeka vs Rudes (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
