Value bet: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIstra 1961 to win ✗43% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb preview and prediction
The match
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb travel to Stadion Aldo Drosina in the HNL on Saturday 1 August (17:30 WAT) to face Istra 1961. Istra 1961 are 4th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top four), while NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 9th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Istra 1961's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Lecce 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Sturm Graz II 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Istra 1961 and 1.3 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Istra 1961 43%, draw 22%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Value angle: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Istra 1961 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Istra 196143%fair 2.32 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.25
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb35%fair 2.86 · @3.25
2.70Expected goals
1.44Istra 1961 xG
1.26NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.4 – 1.3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Istra 1961 to win✗
43%
2.32
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Istra 1961 / FT Istra 1961✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.35
–
Form
Istra 1961 – last 6
DWLDWW
25 Jul
@ Lecce
2–2
D
17 Jul
vs Milton Keynes Dons
2–1
W
23 May
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
17 May
vs HNK Rijeka
0–0
D
10 May
@ NK Osijek
1–0
W
4 May
vs NK Slaven Belupo
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 6
WDWDWW
25 Jul
vs Sturm Graz II
4–0
W
17 Jul
vs Karpaty
0–0
D
13 Jul
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3–1
W
10 Jul
vs FK Partizan
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs Bravo
3–1
W
1 Jul
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Istra 1961 and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
