Value bet: HNK Gorica to win @ 2.46 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Gorica to win ✗45% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.40
HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek preview and prediction
The match
HNK Gorica host NK Osijek in the HNL on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica. HNK Gorica are 10th with 7 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while NK Osijek sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
HNK Gorica's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Shakhtar Donetsk 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
NK Osijek's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Rizespor 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
NK Osijek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for HNK Gorica and 1.1 for NK Osijek. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Gorica 45%, draw 24%, NK Osijek 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Value angle: HNK Gorica to win at 2.46 – 45% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Osijek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Gorica45%fair 2.24 · @2.46
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.90
NK Osijek32%fair 3.16 · @2.96
2.43Expected goals
1.35HNK Gorica xG
1.08NK Osijek xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 1.3 – 1.1 NK Osijek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Gorica to win✗
45%
2.24
2.46 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Gorica / FT HNK Gorica✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.40
–
Form
HNK Gorica – last 6
LLWLWL
23 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–2
L
19 Jul
@ FC St. Pauli
1–2
L
16 Jul
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1–0
W
13 Jul
vs Göztepe
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Zorya Luhansk
2–1
W
23 May
@ HNK Rijeka
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NK Osijek – last 6
LWWLWL
25 Jul
vs Rizespor
1–3
L
22 Jul
vs HNK Cibalia
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Budapest Honved
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Paks
0–4
L
22 May
vs NK Slaven Belupo
2–0
W
10 May
vs Istra 1961
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Gorica and NK Osijek.
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NK Osijek 32%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Osijek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
