Liberia vs Sierra Leone prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Sierra Leone to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Liberia 0.9 – 1.1 Sierra Leone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Liberia and Sierra Leone on our numbers – 34% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Liberia have taken 1 points from their last 3 matches (0W 1D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Sierra Leone have 3 points from their last 1 (1W 0D 0L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. Sierra Leone come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.9 for Liberia, 1.1 for Sierra Leone). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Liberia have won 0, Sierra Leone have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.54. For a bigger price, Sierra Leone to win at 2.65 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sierra Leone to win ✗ | 41% | 2.47 | 2.65 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 22% | 4.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.88 | – |
Form
Liberia – last 3
| 6 Jun | @ Sierra Leone | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Libya | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Mar | @ Benin | 0–1 | L |
Sierra Leone – last 1
| 6 Jun | vs Liberia | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 6 Jun 2026 | Sierra Leone v Liberia | 1–0 |
More Friendlies predictions
League hub
Vanuatu
Fiji
Philippines5
Myanmar1
China0
Thailand0
Cambodia2
Hong Kong0
Oman
Kuwait
Indonesia1
Mozambique0
Bahrain
Syria
Kyrgyzstan0
Palestine0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Liberia vs Sierra Leone?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Liberia vs Sierra Leone?
On our numbers Liberia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sierra Leone 41%.
How many goals will there be in Liberia vs Sierra Leone?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Liberia vs Sierra Leone?
Liberia vs Sierra Leone (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.