Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLivingston to win ✗64% · @1.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston preview and prediction
The match
Stenhousemuir host Livingston in the League Cup on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ochilview Park.
Form guide
Stenhousemuir's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Partick 2–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Livingston's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Forfar Athletic 8–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.2 for Stenhousemuir and 2.3 for Livingston. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Stenhousemuir 1–2 Livingston. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stenhousemuir18%fair 5.45 · @5.25
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @4.20
Livingston64%fair 1.57 · @1.48
3.47Expected goals
1.16Stenhousemuir xG
2.31Livingston xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 1.2 – 2.3 Livingston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livingston to win✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.53
Half-time result
Livingston ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livingston / FT Livingston✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.39
–
Form
Stenhousemuir – last 6
DWWWDW
21 Jul
@ Partick
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Brechin
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Forfar Athletic
2–0
W
13 May
@ Alloa Athletic
3–1
W
5 May
@ Queen of the South
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Hamilton Academical
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Livingston – last 6
WDWWWW
21 Jul
vs Forfar Athletic
8–0
W
18 Jul
vs Partick
1–1
D
14 Jul
@ Brechin
2–0
W
10 Jul
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–1
W
30 Jun
@ Alloa Athletic
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs Dundee
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Livingston.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Livingston 64%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 1–2 Livingston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aberdeen3
Kelty Hearts0
Airdrie United0
Ross County3
Arbroath1
Stirling Albion0
Ayr Utd4
Alloa Athletic1
Dumbarton2
Cove Rangers0
Dundee4
Clyde0
Falkirk3
Stranraer0
Forfar Athletic3
Brechin1