Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAyr Utd to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceAyr Utd or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.16
Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Ayr Utd host Alloa Athletic in the League Cup on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Somerset Park.
Form guide
Ayr Utd's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Edinburgh City 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alloa Athletic's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Falkirk 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ayr Utd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Ayr Utd and 0.9 for Alloa Athletic. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Ayr Utd to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Ayr Utd 2–0 Alloa Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ayr Utd65%fair 1.54 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.33
Alloa Athletic13%fair 7.82 · @5.80
3.08Expected goals
2.18Ayr Utd xG
0.90Alloa Athletic xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ayr Utd 2.2 – 0.9 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ayr Utd to win✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Double chance
Ayr Utd or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Half-time result
Ayr Utd ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ayr Utd / FT Ayr Utd✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.16
–
Form
Ayr Utd – last 6
WWWWWW
18 Jul
vs Edinburgh City
2–0
W
14 Jul
@ Falkirk
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Stranraer
3–2
W
4 Jul
vs Airdrie United
2–1
W
30 Jun
vs Dumbarton
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs Glenafton Athletic
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alloa Athletic – last 6
DDLLWL
21 Jul
vs Falkirk
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Stranraer
2–2
D
14 Jul
@ Edinburgh City
0–2
L
30 Jun
vs Livingston
0–3
L
23 Jun
vs Civil Service Strollers
5–0
W
13 May
vs Stenhousemuir
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ayr Utd and Alloa Athletic.
What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?
Our pick is Ayr Utd to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?
On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alloa Athletic 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?
Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 2–0 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?
Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aberdeen3
Kelty Hearts0
Airdrie United0
Ross County3
Arbroath1
Stirling Albion0
Dumbarton2
Cove Rangers0
Dundee4
Clyde0
Falkirk3
Stranraer0
Forfar Athletic3
Brechin1
Hamilton Academical5
Elgin City0