Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.55 – our chance 53% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLivingston to win ✓74% · @1.06
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Livingston vs Forfar Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Livingston host Forfar Athletic in the League Cup on Tuesday 21 July, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Form guide
Livingston's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Partick 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Forfar Athletic's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Partick 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Livingston arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.5 for Livingston and 0.8 for Forfar Athletic. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.55 – 53% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Livingston 3–0 Forfar Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Livingston74%fair 1.35 · @1.06
Draw15%fair 6.82 · @8.40
Forfar Athletic11%fair 9.00 · @29.00
3.29Expected goals
2.47Livingston xG
0.82Forfar Athletic xG
53%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
3–09%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Livingston 2.5 – 0.8 Forfar Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livingston to win✓
74%
1.35
1.06
Double chance
Livingston or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.55 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Half-time result
Livingston ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livingston / FT Livingston✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Form
Livingston – last 6
DWWWWL
18 Jul
vs Partick
1–1
D
14 Jul
@ Brechin
2–0
W
10 Jul
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–1
W
30 Jun
@ Alloa Athletic
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs Dundee
2–0
W
17 May
vs Kilmarnock
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Forfar Athletic – last 6
LLLDLD
14 Jul
vs Partick
0–4
L
11 Jul
@ Stenhousemuir
0–2
L
7 Jul
vs Peterhead
0–3
L
4 Jul
vs Banks O' Dee
2–2
D
30 Jun
vs ST Johnstone
0–4
L
27 Jun
vs Montrose
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livingston and Forfar Athletic.
What is the prediction for Livingston vs Forfar Athletic?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Livingston vs Forfar Athletic?
On our numbers Livingston have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Forfar Athletic 11%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Forfar Athletic?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Forfar Athletic?
Our predicted score is Livingston 3–0 Forfar Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Forfar Athletic?
Livingston vs Forfar Athletic (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kelty Hearts3
Brora Rangers2
Partick2
Stenhousemuir2
Raith Rovers1
Peterhead0
Ross County1
Dundee1
ST Mirren4
East Kilbride3