Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗61% · @1.55
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.79
LDU de Quito vs Mirassol preview and prediction
The match
Mirassol travel to Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Thursday 20 August (23:00 WAT) to face LDU de Quito. LDU de Quito are 1st with 12 points from 6 games, while Mirassol sit 2nd on 12 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
LDU de Quito's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Aucas 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mirassol's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Flamengo 1–5 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
LDU de Quito arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 August 2026, finished Mirassol 1–1 LDU de Quito. Across their last 3 meetings LDU de Quito have won 1, Mirassol 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for LDU de Quito and 0.6 for Mirassol. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: LDU de Quito 61%, draw 22%, Mirassol 17%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: LDU de Quito 1–0 Mirassol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LDU de Quito61%fair 1.63 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.65
Mirassol17%fair 5.83 · @6.60
2.20Expected goals
1.55LDU de Quito xG
0.64Mirassol xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.6 – 0.6 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mirassol 17%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
LDU de Quito vs Mirassol (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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