Thursday, 12 November 2026 8 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estádio do Maracanã
2–1
FT

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFlamengo to win ✓62% · @1.66
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.54

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro preview and prediction

The match

Cruzeiro travel to Estádio do Maracanã in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Thursday 20 August (01:30 WAT) to face Flamengo. Flamengo are 1st with 16 points from 6 games, while Cruzeiro sit 2nd on 11 points.

Form guide

Flamengo's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Mirassol 5–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.

Cruzeiro's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Corinthians 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 13 August 2026, finished Cruzeiro 1–1 Flamengo. Across their last 2 meetings Flamengo have won 1, Cruzeiro 0, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Flamengo and 0.7 for Cruzeiro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Flamengo 1–0 Cruzeiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Flamengo62%fair 1.60 · @1.66
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.65
Cruzeiro18%fair 5.56 · @5.20
2.39Expected goals
1.67Flamengo xG
0.72Cruzeiro xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Flamengo 1.7 – 0.7 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlamengo to win ✓62%1.601.66
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓82%1.221.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.921.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flamengo / FT Flamengo ✓37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.54–

Form

Flamengo – last 6

WDWDDW
16 Aug@ Mirassol5–1W
13 Aug@ Cruzeiro1–1D
9 Augvs Vitoria2–0W
29 Jul@ Internacional1–1D
26 Julvs Sao Paulo1–1D
23 Jul@ Chapecoense-sc4–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cruzeiro – last 6

WDWWDW
16 Aug@ Corinthians2–1W
13 Augvs Flamengo1–1D
9 Augvs Mirassol3–1W
5 Augvs Chapecoense-sc2–0W
2 Aug@ Chapecoense-sc0–0D
31 Jul@ Coritiba1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Aug 2026Cruzeiro v Flamengo1–1
12 Mar 2026Flamengo v Cruzeiro2–0
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo6510+1216
2Estudiantes L.P.6231+19
3Independiente Medellin6213-57
4Cusco6015-81

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

On our numbers Flamengo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cruzeiro 18%.

How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Our predicted score is Flamengo 1–0 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.