Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Palmeiras to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.26
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras preview and prediction
The match
Cerro Porteno host Palmeiras in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Wednesday 19 August, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at General Pablo Rojas. Cerro Porteno are 1st with 13 points from 6 games, while Palmeiras sit 2nd on 11 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cerro Porteno's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Palmeiras's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Fluminense 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 August 2026, finished Palmeiras 1–1 Cerro Porteno. Across their last 3 meetings Cerro Porteno have won 1, Palmeiras 0, with 2 draws and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Cerro Porteno and 1.6 for Palmeiras. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Value angle: Palmeiras to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cerro Porteno 0–1 Palmeiras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Porteno15%fair 6.88 · @4.60
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.35
Palmeiras64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
2.11Expected goals
0.54Cerro Porteno xG
1.56Palmeiras xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–215%
0–012%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 0.5 – 1.6 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Palmeiras 64%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 0–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at General Pablo Rojas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportes Tolima0
Independiente del Valle1
U. Catolica0
Estudiantes L.P.3
Coquimbo Unido0
Platense0