Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.29
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno preview and prediction
The match
Cerro Porteno travel to Nubank Parque in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Wednesday 12 August (23:00 WAT) to face Palmeiras. Palmeiras are 2nd with 11 points from 6 games, while Cerro Porteno sit 1st on 13 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Palmeiras's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Internacional 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cerro Porteno's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished Palmeiras 0–1 Cerro Porteno. Across their last 2 meetings Palmeiras have won 0, Cerro Porteno 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Palmeiras and 0.4 for Cerro Porteno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Palmeiras 1–0 Cerro Porteno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palmeiras73%fair 1.37 · @1.32
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @5.10
Cerro Porteno9%fair 11.00 · @8.60
2.28Expected goals
1.84Palmeiras xG
0.44Cerro Porteno xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–017%
3–011%
0–010%
1–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 1.8 – 0.4 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cerro Porteno 9%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1–0 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Nubank Parque.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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