Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗59% · @1.65
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.38
Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Libertadores sees Estudiantes L.P. take on U. Catolica on Wednesday 12 August, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. Estudiantes L.P. are 2nd with 9 points from 6 games, while U. Catolica sit 1st on 13 points.
Form guide
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Riestra 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
U. Catolica's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Cobresal 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Estudiantes L.P. and 0.6 for U. Catolica. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes L.P. 59%, draw 25%, U. Catolica 16%.
Safer route: Estudiantes L.P. or draw (84%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 U. Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes L.P.59%fair 1.68 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.50
U. Catolica16%fair 6.43 · @5.70
2.07Expected goals
1.48Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.60U. Catolica xG
46%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.5 – 0.6 U. Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✗
59%
1.68
1.65
Double chance
Estudiantes L.P. or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.38
–
Form
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
LLWLWW
8 Aug
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Boca Juniors
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Defensa Y Justicia
3–0
W
26 Jul
vs Independiente
0–2
L
31 May
vs Rosario Central
3–0
W
27 May
vs Independiente Medellin
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
U. Catolica – last 6
WLDLWW
8 Aug
vs Cobresal
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Concepción
0–3
L
26 Jul
vs D. La Serena
3–3
D
11 Jul
@ San Luis
0–4
L
5 Jul
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–1
W
1 Jul
vs Everton de Vina
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and U. Catolica.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and U. Catolica 16%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 U. Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?
Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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