Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Uberaba to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUberaba to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceUberaba or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.24
Caldense vs Uberaba preview and prediction
The match
Uberaba travel to face Caldense in the Mineiro 2 on Sunday 12 July (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
Caldense's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to BOA 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Uberaba's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Mamoré 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Uberaba arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Uberaba 2–0 Caldense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.6 for Caldense and 1.4 for Uberaba. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caldense 17%, draw 22%, Uberaba 61%.
Safer route: Uberaba or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Uberaba to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Uberaba or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Caldense 0–1 Uberaba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caldense17%fair 5.86 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @2.90
Uberaba61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
2.03Expected goals
0.58Caldense xG
1.45Uberaba xG
39%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–214%
0–013%
1–111%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Caldense 0.6 – 1.4 Uberaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Uberaba or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Caldense vs Uberaba?
On our numbers Caldense have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Uberaba 61%.
How many goals will there be in Caldense vs Uberaba?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldense vs Uberaba?
Our predicted score is Caldense 0–1 Uberaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Caldense vs Uberaba?
Caldense vs Uberaba (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 2 · Brazil
Valeriodoce1
Villa Nova0