Value bet: CAP to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaldense to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.33
Caldense vs CAP preview and prediction
The match
The Mineiro 2 sees Caldense take on CAP on Wednesday 1 July, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Caldense's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Guarani MG 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CAP's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Uberaba 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished CAP 1–1 Caldense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Caldense and 0.8 for CAP. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caldense 39%, draw 26%, CAP 35%.
Value angle: CAP to win at 3.60 – 35% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Caldense 0–0 CAP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caldense39%fair 2.53 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
CAP35%fair 2.90 · @3.60
1.78Expected goals
0.93Caldense xG
0.84CAP xG
42%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Caldense 0.9 – 0.8 CAP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Caldense vs CAP?
On our numbers Caldense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CAP 35%.
How many goals will there be in Caldense vs CAP?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldense vs CAP?
Our predicted score is Caldense 0–0 CAP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Caldense vs CAP?
Caldense vs CAP (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 2 · Brazil
Coimbra2
Villa Nova1
Mamoré2
Guarani MG2