Value bet: Villa Nova to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoimbra to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.74
Coimbra vs Villa Nova preview and prediction
The match
Coimbra host Villa Nova in the Mineiro 2 on Wednesday 1 July, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Coimbra's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Democrata SL 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Villa Nova's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Ipatinga 6–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Villa Nova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.4.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Villa Nova 3–2 Coimbra.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Coimbra and 1.2 for Villa Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Coimbra 38%, draw 26%, Villa Nova 36%.
Value angle: Villa Nova to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Coimbra 1–1 Villa Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coimbra38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.90
Villa Nova36%fair 2.75 · @3.00
2.52Expected goals
1.28Coimbra xG
1.24Villa Nova xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Coimbra 1.3 – 1.2 Villa Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Coimbra vs Villa Nova?
On our numbers Coimbra have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villa Nova 36%.
How many goals will there be in Coimbra vs Villa Nova?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coimbra vs Villa Nova?
Our predicted score is Coimbra 1–1 Villa Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Coimbra vs Villa Nova?
Coimbra vs Villa Nova (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.