Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Suduva Marijampole to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSuduva Marijampole to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceSuduva Marijampole or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.10
Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole preview and prediction
The match
Suduva Marijampole travel to Raudondvario stadionas in the A Lyga on Sunday 20 September (12:15 WAT) to face Hegelmann Litauen. Hegelmann Litauen are 8th with 26 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Suduva Marijampole sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hegelmann Litauen's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Šiauliai 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Suduva Marijampole's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Suduva Marijampole arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 July 2026, finished Suduva Marijampole 5–1 Hegelmann Litauen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.8 for Suduva Marijampole. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.
Safer route: Suduva Marijampole or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Suduva Marijampole to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 Suduva Marijampole. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hegelmann Litauen17%fair 6.04 · @4.75
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Suduva Marijampole62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
2.53Expected goals
0.76Hegelmann Litauen xG
1.77Suduva Marijampole xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Hegelmann Litauen 0.8 – 1.8 Suduva Marijampole expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
Our pick is Suduva Marijampole to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
On our numbers Hegelmann Litauen have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Suduva Marijampole 62%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
Our predicted score is Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 Suduva Marijampole, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
