Šiauliai host Kauno Žalgiris in the A Lyga on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Siauliai central stadium. Šiauliai are 9th with 24 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Kauno Žalgiris sit 1st on 58 points (top of the table). A gap of 34 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Šiauliai's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Hegelmann Litauen 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kauno Žalgiris arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 September 2026, finished Šiauliai 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris. Across their last 3 meetings Šiauliai have won 0, Kauno Žalgiris 3, with 0 draws and 3.3 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.7 for Šiauliai and 2.1 for Kauno Žalgiris. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Šiauliai 12%, draw 19%, Kauno Žalgiris 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kauno Žalgiris to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Šiauliai 0–2 Kauno Žalgiris. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Šiauliai12%fair 8.01 · @9.00
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @5.00
Kauno Žalgiris69%fair 1.45 · @1.25
2.80Expected goals
0.73Šiauliai xG
2.07Kauno Žalgiris xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–113%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Šiauliai 0.7 – 2.1 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers Šiauliai have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kauno Žalgiris 69%.
How many goals will there be in Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our predicted score is Šiauliai 0–2 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Siauliai central stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
