Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Suduva Marijampole to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSuduva Marijampole to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93
Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys preview and prediction
The match
Suduva Marijampole host Panevėžys in the A Lyga on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 16:45 (WAT) at Marijampole Football Arena. Suduva Marijampole are 2nd with 56 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Panevėžys sit 7th on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Suduva Marijampole's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Džiugas Telšiai 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Panevėžys's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Šiauliai 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Suduva Marijampole arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 June 2026, finished Panevėžys 1–2 Suduva Marijampole. Across their last 2 meetings Suduva Marijampole have won 1, Panevėžys 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Suduva Marijampole and 0.8 for Panevėžys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Suduva Marijampole to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Suduva Marijampole 1–0 Panevėžys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Suduva Marijampole63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @3.70
Panevėžys19%fair 5.38 · @5.50
2.48Expected goals
1.72Suduva Marijampole xG
0.76Panevėžys xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Suduva Marijampole 1.7 – 0.8 Panevėžys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys?
Our pick is Suduva Marijampole to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys?
On our numbers Suduva Marijampole have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Panevėžys 19%.
How many goals will there be in Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys?
Our predicted score is Suduva Marijampole 1–0 Panevėžys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys?
Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Marijampole Football Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
