Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Banga to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBanga to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceBanga or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga preview and prediction
The match
Banga travel to Raudondvario stadionas in the A Lyga on Sunday 23 August (16:30 WAT) to face Hegelmann Litauen. Hegelmann Litauen are 8th with 26 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Banga sit 5th on 42 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hegelmann Litauen's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Kauno Žalgiris 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Banga's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Banga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Banga 2–0 Hegelmann Litauen. Across their last 3 meetings Hegelmann Litauen have won 0, Banga 3, with 0 draws and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.8 for Banga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Banga to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Banga or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 Banga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hegelmann Litauen15%fair 6.83 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Banga61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
2.50Expected goals
0.74Hegelmann Litauen xG
1.76Banga xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Hegelmann Litauen 0.7 – 1.8 Banga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga?
Our pick is Banga or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga?
On our numbers Hegelmann Litauen have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Banga 61%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga?
Our predicted score is Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 Banga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga?
Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
