Value bet: XV de Piracicaba U20 to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanto André U20 to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.17
Santo André U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20 preview and prediction
The match
Santo André U20 host XV de Piracicaba U20 in the Paulista U20 on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Santo André U20 are 14th with 0 points from 2 games (in the bottom three), while XV de Piracicaba U20 sit 7th on 2 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Santo André U20's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Ibrachina U20 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
XV de Piracicaba U20's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat São Caetano U20 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Santo André U20 and 1.2 for XV de Piracicaba U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santo André U20 40%, draw 23%, XV de Piracicaba U20 37%.
Value angle: XV de Piracicaba U20 to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Santo André U20 1–1 XV de Piracicaba U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santo André U2040%fair 2.51 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
XV de Piracicaba U2037%fair 2.68 · @2.90
2.43Expected goals
1.24Santo André U20 xG
1.19XV de Piracicaba U20 xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Santo André U20 1.2 – 1.2 XV de Piracicaba U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santo André U20 to win✗
40%
2.51
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santo André U20 / FT Santo André U20✗
21%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.17
–
Form
Santo André U20 – last 6
WLWDWW
11 Aug
@ Ibrachina U20
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Botafogo SP U20
1–4
L
31 Jul
vs União São João U20
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Novorizontino U20
2–2
D
10 Jul
vs Bandeirante U20
2–1
W
3 Jul
vs SC Paulinense SP U20
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
XV de Piracicaba U20 – last 6
WDDWWD
11 Aug
vs São Caetano U20
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Velo Clube U20
0–0
D
30 Jul
@ Oeste U20
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Aguai U20
3–0
W
13 Jul
vs Desportivo Brasil U20
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ São Paulo U20
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santo André U20 and XV de Piracicaba U20.
What is the prediction for Santo André U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Santo André U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20?
On our numbers Santo André U20 have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and XV de Piracicaba U20 37%.
How many goals will there be in Santo André U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santo André U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20?
Our predicted score is Santo André U20 1–1 XV de Piracicaba U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Santo André U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20?
Santo André U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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