Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSfera U20 to win ✗62% · @1.60
Double chanceSfera U20 or draw ✗83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.55
Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20 preview and prediction
The match
Sfera U20 travel to face Referencia U20 in the Paulista U20 on Friday 14 August (19:00 WAT). Referencia U20 are 15th with 0 points from 2 games (in the bottom three), while Sfera U20 sit 14th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Referencia U20's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to XV de Jaú U20 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sfera U20's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat XV de Jaú U20 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Sfera U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Referencia U20 and 1.9 for Sfera U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Referencia U20 17%, draw 21%, Sfera U20 62%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sfera U20 to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Referencia U20 0–1 Sfera U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Referencia U2017%fair 5.92 · @4.50
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.75
Sfera U2062%fair 1.62 · @1.60
2.79Expected goals
0.88Referencia U20 xG
1.91Sfera U20 xG
46%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Referencia U20 0.9 – 1.9 Sfera U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sfera U20 to win✗
62%
1.62
1.60
Double chance
Sfera U20 or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Sfera U20 ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sfera U20 / FT Sfera U20✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.55
–
Form
Referencia U20 – last 6
LLLWLL
11 Aug
@ XV de Jaú U20
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Osasco Audax U20
0–3
L
31 Jul
vs Guarani U20
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Porto Football U20
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ Capivariano U20
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs RB Bragantino U20
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sfera U20 – last 6
WWLWWL
7 Aug
vs XV de Jaú U20
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Água Santa U20
3–1
W
24 Jul
vs Osasco Audax U20
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ Tanabi SP U20
3–0
W
10 Jul
vs Flamengo SP U20
5–0
W
3 Jul
@ Guarani U20
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Referencia U20 and Sfera U20.
What is the prediction for Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20?
Our pick is Sfera U20 to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20?
On our numbers Referencia U20 have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sfera U20 62%.
How many goals will there be in Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20?
Our predicted score is Referencia U20 0–1 Sfera U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20?
Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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