São Caetano U20 vs União São João U20 prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
São Caetano U20 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: São Caetano U20 to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSão Caetano U20 to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceSão Caetano U20 or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.10
São Caetano U20 vs União São João U20 preview and prediction
The match
The Paulista U20 sees São Caetano U20 take on União São João U20 on Friday 3 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). São Caetano U20 are 6th with 3 points from 2 games (in the top half), while União São João U20 sit 12th on 1 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
São Caetano U20's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to São Paulo U20 0–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
União São João U20's last 4: DDDL Most recently they drew with Novorizontino U20 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for São Caetano U20 and 0.8 for União São João U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: São Caetano U20 61%, draw 23%, União São João U20 17%.
Safer route: São Caetano U20 or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Value angle: São Caetano U20 to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was São Caetano U20 or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: São Caetano U20 1–0 União São João U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São Caetano U2061%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
União São João U2017%fair 6.04 · @3.70
2.52Expected goals
1.74São Caetano U20 xG
0.77União São João U20 xG
43%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: São Caetano U20 1.7 – 0.8 União São João U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Caetano U20 to win✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
São Caetano U20 or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
São Caetano U20 ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Caetano U20 / FT São Caetano U20✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.10
–
Form
São Caetano U20 – last 4
LLLW
28 Jun
vs São Paulo U20
0–2
L
12 Jun
@ Desportivo Brasil U20
2–3
L
5 Jun
@ Bandeirante U20
1–2
L
31 May
vs Botafogo SP U20
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
União São João U20 – last 4
DDDL
26 Jun
vs Novorizontino U20
0–0
D
12 Jun
vs Velo Clube U20
0–0
D
5 Jun
@ Botafogo SP U20
1–1
D
29 May
vs Ibrachina U20
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Caetano U20 and União São João U20.
What is the prediction for São Caetano U20 vs União São João U20?
Our pick is São Caetano U20 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win São Caetano U20 vs União São João U20?
On our numbers São Caetano U20 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and União São João U20 17%.
How many goals will there be in São Caetano U20 vs União São João U20?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Caetano U20 vs União São João U20?
Our predicted score is São Caetano U20 1–0 União São João U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is São Caetano U20 vs União São João U20?
São Caetano U20 vs União São João U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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