Value bet: Capivariano U20 to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultItuano U20 to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20 preview and prediction
The match
Ituano U20 travel to face Capivariano U20 in the Paulista U20 on Friday 3 July (19:00 WAT). Capivariano U20 are 4th with 4 points from 2 games (in the top four), while Ituano U20 sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Capivariano U20's last 4: LDWD Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino U20 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ituano U20's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Referencia U20 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Capivariano U20 and 1.3 for Ituano U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 45%.
Value angle: Capivariano U20 to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Capivariano U20 1–1 Ituano U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Capivariano U2035%fair 2.89 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Ituano U2045%fair 2.24 · @2.05
2.31Expected goals
1.05Capivariano U20 xG
1.26Ituano U20 xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Capivariano U20 1.1 – 1.3 Ituano U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ituano U20 to win✗
45%
2.24
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ituano U20 / FT Ituano U20✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.02
–
Form
Capivariano U20 – last 4
LDWD
28 Jun
@ RB Bragantino U20
1–3
L
12 Jun
@ XV de Jaú U20
0–0
D
5 Jun
vs Sfera U20
2–1
W
29 May
@ Osasco Audax U20
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ituano U20 – last 3
DWD
12 Jun
vs Referencia U20
1–1
D
5 Jun
vs Osasco Audax U20
1–0
W
29 May
@ Tanabi SP U20
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Capivariano U20 and Ituano U20.
What is the prediction for Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20?
On our numbers Capivariano U20 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ituano U20 45%.
How many goals will there be in Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20?
Our predicted score is Capivariano U20 1–1 Ituano U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20?
Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Desportivo Brasil U201
Bandeirante U200
Ibrachina U204
EC São Bernardo U200
Jabaquara U201
Itapirense U200
São Bento U202
América-SP U200