Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSfera U20 to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68
Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20 preview and prediction
The match
The Paulista U20 sees Sfera U20 take on Mauá U20 on Friday 26 June, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Sfera U20 are 14th with 0 points from 2 games (in the bottom three), while Mauá U20 sit 11th on 1 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sfera U20's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Porto Football U20 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Sfera U20 and 0.9 for Mauá U20. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sfera U20 1–0 Mauá U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sfera U2044%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Mauá U2036%fair 2.82 · @2.88
1.95Expected goals
1.05Sfera U20 xG
0.90Mauá U20 xG
43%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sfera U20 1.0 – 0.9 Mauá U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sfera U20 to win✓
44%
2.30
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.68
–
Form
Sfera U20 – last 3
WLL
14 Jun
@ Porto Football U20
1–0
W
5 Jun
@ Capivariano U20
1–2
L
31 May
vs RB Bragantino U20
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mauá U20 – last 2
DD
12 Jun
vs Água Santa U20
1–1
D
29 May
vs Gremio Prudente U20
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sfera U20 and Mauá U20.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20?
On our numbers Sfera U20 have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mauá U20 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20?
Our predicted score is Sfera U20 1–0 Mauá U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20?
Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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