Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.68
Referencia U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 preview and prediction
The match
Referencia U20 host Gremio Prudente U20 in the Paulista U20 on Friday 26 June, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Referencia U20 are 15th with 0 points from 2 games (in the bottom three), while Gremio Prudente U20 sit 12th on 1 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Referencia U20's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Ituano U20 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Gremio Prudente U20's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Tanabi SP U20 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Gremio Prudente U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Referencia U20 and 1.4 for Gremio Prudente U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Referencia U20 1–1 Gremio Prudente U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Referencia U2031%fair 3.21 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Gremio Prudente U2048%fair 2.07 · @2.15
2.53Expected goals
1.08Referencia U20 xG
1.45Gremio Prudente U20 xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Referencia U20 1.1 – 1.4 Gremio Prudente U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gremio Prudente U20 to win✓
48%
2.07
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gremio Prudente U20 / FT Gremio Prudente U20✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.68
–
Form
Referencia U20 – last 3
DLL
12 Jun
@ Ituano U20
1–1
D
5 Jun
vs Água Santa U20
1–2
L
29 May
@ Flamengo SP U20
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gremio Prudente U20 – last 3
WLD
12 Jun
vs Tanabi SP U20
3–2
W
4 Jun
vs Palmeiras U20
0–2
L
29 May
@ Mauá U20
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Referencia U20 and Gremio Prudente U20.
What is the prediction for Referencia U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Referencia U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
On our numbers Referencia U20 have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gremio Prudente U20 48%.
How many goals will there be in Referencia U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Referencia U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
Our predicted score is Referencia U20 1–1 Gremio Prudente U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Referencia U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
Referencia U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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