Value bet: Juventude to win @ 3.05 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventude to win ✗39% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Juventude vs Atletico-MG preview and prediction
The match
Juventude host Atletico-MG in the Copa Do Brasil on Tuesday 4 August, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.
Form guide
Juventude's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Atletico-MG 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico-MG's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Juventude 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Atletico-MG 0–0 Juventude.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Juventude and 1.2 for Atletico-MG. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Juventude to win at 3.05 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Juventude 1–1 Atletico-MG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventude39%fair 2.56 · @3.05
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.05
Atletico-MG36%fair 2.81 · @2.38
2.46Expected goals
1.27Juventude xG
1.19Atletico-MG xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.3 – 1.2 Atletico-MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Juventude vs Atletico-MG?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Juventude vs Atletico-MG?
On our numbers Juventude have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico-MG 36%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Atletico-MG?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Atletico-MG?
Our predicted score is Juventude 1–1 Atletico-MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs Atletico-MG?
Juventude vs Atletico-MG (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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