Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Paranaense to win ✓62% · @1.61
Double chanceAtletico Paranaense or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.72
Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Atletico Paranaense take on Vitoria on Tuesday 4 August, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Arena da Baixada.
Form guide
Atletico Paranaense's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Corinthians 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vitoria's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Atletico Paranaense and 0.5 for Vitoria. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Vitoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Paranaense62%fair 1.62 · @1.61
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.45
Vitoria14%fair 6.97 · @6.25
1.89Expected goals
1.41Atletico Paranaense xG
0.49Vitoria xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–015%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Paranaense 1.4 – 0.5 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Paranaense to win✓
62%
1.62
1.61
Double chance
Atletico Paranaense or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Paranaense / FT Atletico Paranaense✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.72
–
Form
Atletico Paranaense – last 6
DWWLLW
30 Jul
@ Corinthians
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Internacional
2–0
W
23 Jul
@ Sao Paulo
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ RB Bragantino
1–2
L
9 Jul
@ Boca Juniors
0–1
L
30 May
vs Mirassol
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vitoria – last 6
LLDWWW
30 Jul
vs Palmeiras
0–4
L
26 Jul
@ Remo
0–2
L
23 Jul
@ Botafogo
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
6 Jun
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
3 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Paranaense and Vitoria.
What is the prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Atletico Paranaense have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vitoria 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena da Baixada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventude0
Atletico-MG1