Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Mirassol to win @ 4.00 – our chance 32% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGremio to win ✓45% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.75
Gremio vs Mirassol preview and prediction
The match
Gremio host Mirassol in the Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 5 August, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Gremio's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Mirassol 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Mirassol's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Gremio 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Mirassol 1–1 Gremio. Across their last 2 meetings Gremio have won 0, Mirassol 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Gremio and 1.0 for Mirassol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gremio 45%, draw 22%, Mirassol 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Mirassol to win at 4.00 – 32% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Gremio 1–1 Mirassol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gremio45%fair 2.20 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Mirassol32%fair 3.08 · @4.00
2.29Expected goals
1.28Gremio xG
1.02Mirassol xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Gremio 1.3 – 1.0 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Gremio vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Gremio have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mirassol 32%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Gremio 1–1 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs Mirassol?
Gremio vs Mirassol (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Remo0
Santos1
Cruzeiro2
Chapecoense-sc0