Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Palmeiras to win @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalmeiras to win ✗62% · @1.77
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras preview and prediction
The match
Palmeiras travel to face Fortaleza EC in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 6 August (01:30 WAT).
Form guide
Fortaleza EC's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palmeiras's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Fortaleza EC 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palmeiras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Palmeiras 3–0 Fortaleza EC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Fortaleza EC and 1.9 for Palmeiras. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Palmeiras to win at 1.77 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Palmeiras or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 0–1 Palmeiras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortaleza EC17%fair 6.00 · @4.45
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.60
Palmeiras62%fair 1.62 · @1.77
2.73Expected goals
0.85Fortaleza EC xG
1.88Palmeiras xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 0.9 – 1.9 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Palmeiras or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palmeiras 62%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 0–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?
Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fluminense1
Vasco DA Gama3