Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Vasco DA Gama to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFluminense to win ✗44% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Fluminense take on Vasco DA Gama on Thursday 6 August, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Fluminense's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Vasco DA Gama 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Fluminense 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Fluminense. Across their last 3 meetings Fluminense have won 1, Vasco DA Gama 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Fluminense and 0.8 for Vasco DA Gama. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fluminense 44%, draw 24%, Vasco DA Gama 33%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Vasco DA Gama to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fluminense44%fair 2.29 · @2.16
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.00
Vasco DA Gama33%fair 3.05 · @3.60
1.84Expected goals
1.02Fluminense xG
0.82Vasco DA Gama xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.0 – 0.8 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vasco DA Gama 33%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fortaleza EC3
Palmeiras2