Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Vasco DA Gama to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFluminense to win ✗41% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.29
Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense preview and prediction
The match
Fluminense travel to face Vasco DA Gama in the Copa Do Brasil on Saturday 1 August (21:30 WAT).
Form guide
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Independiente Medellin 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Fluminense's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Bahia 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 March 2026, finished Vasco DA Gama 3–2 Fluminense. Across their last 2 meetings Vasco DA Gama have won 1, Fluminense 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Vasco DA Gama and 1.2 for Fluminense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vasco DA Gama 35%, draw 24%, Fluminense 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Vasco DA Gama to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Fluminense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasco DA Gama35%fair 2.89 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Fluminense41%fair 2.42 · @2.18
2.32Expected goals
1.09Vasco DA Gama xG
1.23Fluminense xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.1 – 1.2 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fluminense 41%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?
Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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