Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico-MG to win ✗69% · @1.47
Double chanceAtletico-MG or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.60
Atletico-MG vs Juventude preview and prediction
The match
Juventude travel to MRV Arena in the Copa Do Brasil on Saturday 1 August (23:30 WAT) to face Atletico-MG.
Form guide
Atletico-MG's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Palmeiras 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juventude's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Avai 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Atletico-MG and 0.7 for Juventude. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 51% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Atletico-MG 2–0 Juventude. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico-MG69%fair 1.45 · @1.47
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.95
Juventude9%fair 10.93 · @7.40
2.88Expected goals
2.16Atletico-MG xG
0.72Juventude xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico-MG 2.2 – 0.7 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico-MG to win✗
69%
1.45
1.47
Double chance
Atletico-MG or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Half-time result
Atletico-MG ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico-MG / FT Atletico-MG✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.60
–
Form
Atletico-MG – last 6
WDWWLW
26 Jul
@ Palmeiras
2–1
W
21 Jul
vs Bahia
1–1
D
31 May
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
27 May
vs Puerto Cabello
1–0
W
24 May
@ Corinthians
0–1
L
21 May
vs Cienciano
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Juventude – last 6
WLWWDW
28 Jul
vs Avai
1–0
W
24 Jul
@ Botafogo SP
2–4
L
17 Jul
vs Cuiaba
2–0
W
10 Jul
vs Vila Nova
1–0
W
6 Jul
@ Nautico Recife
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Ceara
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico-MG and Juventude.
What is the prediction for Atletico-MG vs Juventude?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Atletico-MG vs Juventude?
On our numbers Atletico-MG have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventude 9%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico-MG vs Juventude?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico-MG vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is Atletico-MG 2–0 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico-MG vs Juventude?
Atletico-MG vs Juventude (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at MRV Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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