Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Wanderers to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWanderers to win ✗47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.22
Wanderers vs Danubio preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Wanderers take on Danubio on Friday 5 June, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT). Wanderers are 10th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Danubio sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Wanderers's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Juventud 5–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Danubio's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Progreso 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Wanderers and 1.0 for Danubio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Wanderers to win at 2.25 – 47% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Wanderers 1–1 Danubio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wanderers47%fair 2.12 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Danubio30%fair 3.28 · @3.10
2.44Expected goals
1.39Wanderers xG
1.05Danubio xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Wanderers 1.4 – 1.0 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wanderers to win✗
47%
2.12
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wanderers / FT Wanderers✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.22
–
Form
Wanderers – last 6
WDDWLL
31 May
@ Juventud
5–2
W
24 May
vs Deportivo Maldonado
1–1
D
17 May
@ Albion FC
0–0
D
8 May
vs Liverpool Montevideo
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Albion FC
1–2
L
14 Mar
@ Club Nacional
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 6
LLDWDL
30 May
vs Progreso
1–2
L
18 May
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–3
L
26 Mar
vs Defensor Sporting
0–0
D
16 Mar
vs Juventud
4–1
W
8 Mar
@ Penarol
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Racing Montevideo
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Danubio.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Wanderers vs Danubio?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Danubio 30%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Wanderers vs Danubio?
Wanderers vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
